Rojas, Omar
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Preferred name
Rojas, Omar
Official Name
Rojas Altamirano, Omar Guillermo
Alternative Name
orojas
Main Affiliation
ORCID
Scopus Author ID
22954196800
Researcher ID
K-1066-2013

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Publication

Time-Varying Granger Causality of COVID-19 News on Emerging Financial Markets: The Latin American Case

2023 , Semei Coronado , Jose N. Martinez , Victor Gualajara , Rafael Romero-Meza , Rojas, Omar

This study uses daily COVID-19 news series to determine their impact on financial market volatility. This paper assesses whether U.S. financial markets react differently to COVID-19 news than emerging markets and if such markets are impacted differently by country-specific and global news. To detect the spillover effects from news on market volatility, a time-varying DCC-GARCH model was applied. The results suggest that the U.S. and emerging markets are affected differently by pandemic news, global series have a stronger impact on emerging markets than country-specific ones, and misleading information plays a significant role in financial market volatility, especially for the U.S.

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Publication

Transfer Entropy Granger Causality between News Indices and Stock Markets in U.S. and Latin America during the COVID-19 Pandemic

2022 , Semei Coronado , Jose N. Martinez , Victor Gualajara , Rojas, Omar

The relationship between three different groups of COVID-19 news series and stock market volatility for several Latin American countries and the U.S. are analyzed. To confirm the relationship between these series, a maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform (MODWT) was applied to determine the specific periods wherein each pair of series is significantly correlated. To determine if the news series cause Latin American stock markets’ volatility, a one-sided Granger causality test based on transfer entropy (GC-TE) was applied. The results confirm that the U.S. and Latin American stock markets react differently to COVID-19 news. Some of the most statistically significant results were obtained from the reporting case index (RCI), A-COVID index, and uncertainty index, in that order, which are statistically significant for the majority of Latin American stock markets. Altogether, the results suggest these COVID-19 news indices could be used to forecast stock market volatility in the U.S. and Latin America.

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