Now showing 1 - 10 of 33
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Structural Dynamics and disruption events in Supply Chains using Fat Tail Distributions

2019 , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio

The analysis of structural dynamics in a supply chain requires robust methods for the modeling of disruption events that can be faced. Statistical modeling, the machine learning application and access to large amounts of data require much more realistic models to manage risk in the supply chain. This study proposes a statistical methodology for the modeling of disruption events in the supply chain with heavy tailed distributions, which will allow the construction of models more closely linked to reality for risk management in the supply chain. © 2019, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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The supply chain event management application: a case study

2019 , Palma, Fanny , Saucedo, Jania A. , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román

A deviation from planned processes reveals the consequences that a disruption can cause in any area, even more a disruption with Ripple Effect (RE), which implied for the global Supply Chain (SC) when depends essentially from the stakeholders in all levels and chains. The learnt lessons from these tragical events show that many companies could not assess the impact and its side effects, therefore they cannot respond adequately, prolonging the crisis and expanding the disruption. A disruption evaluation model would allow to know from the beginning the potential impact to check carefully into the critical events to provide the necessary resources to control it. Hence, it is relevant that SC managers know and employ the right tools to focus on the control and the solution; as well to evaluate the impact and the disruption criticality level to mitigate and control the impact with total certainty that the appropriate actions are being taken according to the problematic. © 2019, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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A brief literature review of quantitative models for sustainable supply chain management

2022 , Flores-Sigüenza, Pablo , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román

Supply chain management is the basis for the execution of operations, being considered as the core of the business function in the 21st century. On the other hand, at present, factors such as the reduction of natural resources, the search for competitive advantages, government laws, and global agreements have generated a greater interest in the sustainable development, which, in order to achieve it, industries need to rethink and plan their supply chain considering a path of sustainability. So sustainable supply chain management emerges as a means to integrate stakeholders' concern for profit and cost reduction with environmental and social requirements, attracting significant interest among managers, researchers, and practitioners. The main objective of this study is to provide a synthesis of the key elements of the quantitative model offerings that use sustainability indicators in the design and management of forward supply chains. To achieve this objective, we developed a systematic literature review that includes 80 articles published during the last decade in peer-reviewed journals in English language. In addition, a 4W's analysis (when, who, what, and where) is applied and three structural dimensions are defined and grouped by categories: supply chain management, modeling, and sustainability. As part of the results, we evidenced a continuous growth in the scientific production of this type of articles, with a predominance of deterministic mathematical programming models with an environmental economic perspective. Finally, we identified research gaps, highlighting the lack of integral inclusion of a life cycle analysis in the design of supply chain networks. © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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Backbone Distribution Network Design for the Mexican Automotive Industry

2020 , Retana-Blanco, Brenda , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román , Pedraza-Arroyo, Erika

The logistics network of an automotive company in Mexico was analyzed to propose a better logistics network in the country to improve delivery times to customers. The analysis was conducted with Greenfield Analysis and Network Optimization. Taking into account the information given by the company, it was possible to obtain optimal scenarios for better operation, which involved the construction of distribution centers in the Hidalgo state in Mexico. © Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2020.

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Conceptual framework of Digital Health Public Emergency System: digital twins and multiparadigm simulation

2020 , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio

Introduction: Two major technological paradigms have been developed in recent years, digital twins and the multiparadigm simulation. In the Health Sector, the enormous potential of both approaches for the management of public health emergencies is envisioned. Objectives: This study aims to develop the conceptual framework for the development of a Digital Public Health Emergency System. Methods: The integration of the digital twins in health with the multi-paradigm simulation for the design of a digital system of public health emergencies is proposed.

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Digital Twins and Blockchain: Empowering the Supply Chain

2022 , Aguilar Ramírez, José Eduardo , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román

Industry 4.0 is here, and it arrived with very promising new technologies that can foster he supply chain management across industries. In this paper we review multiple sources to identify the main characteristics of Digital Twins and Blockchain technologies and how they can work together to fulfill the needs of the supply chain. We identify some advantages and disadvantages that must be properly analyzed before adopting this approach into any business. Many applications behind these new benefits are still in development, but we believe these two technologies have great potential. © Springer Nature

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Liberalization of the Mexican Electricity Sector: A Study of Technical Efficiency

2019 , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio

This article discusses the recent reform implemented in the Mexican electricity sector. As part of the structural reforms carried out in Mexico during the last 6 years (2012–2018), the opening of this sector to foreign capital, the creation of a wholesale electricity market, and the end of the monopoly of a CFE (Federal Electricity Commission, a government company) are the main changes. This study addresses an estimation of technical efficiency of power thermal units within the framework of the liberalization of the Mexican electricity market. These estimations are relevant because a single supplier, even before liberalization, must form a portfolio of the most efficient plants to be able to compete in the electricity market. The main results show the composition of a set of power thermal plants that are the most efficient of the total number of plants in operation and that could represent CFE in the wholesale electricity market. © Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019.

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Electric Vehicles as Distributed Micro Generation Using Smart Grid for Decision Making: Brief Literature Review

2022 , Sanchez-García, Julieta , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio

This article deals with a brief review of the literature about the potential use of renewable energies through the integration of smart grids and the use of electric vehicles as micro generators that allow energy exchange with the grid. The main technical aspects are addressed, as well as potential benefits and requirements necessary for said integration. Highlighting key aspects in the integration of smart grids, energy storage systems, prosumers and their interaction with electrical vehicles on the grid. © Springer Nature

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Estimation of Electricity Prices in the Mexican Market

2019 , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio , Vasant, Pandian

This paper presents an alpha stable regression model to estimate prices in the Mexican Electric Market. This market began operations in February 2016. The observed prices show great fluctuations in the observed data due to diverse aspects, a seasonality of the demand, the availability of fuel and the problems of congestion in the electrical network. It is relevant in a market context to have a price estimation as accurate as possible for the decision making of supply and demand. This paper proposes a methodology of the price estimation through the application of stable alpha regressions, since the behavior of the electric market has shown the presence of heavy tails in its price distribution. © Springer Nature

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Prices of Mexican Wholesale Electricity Market: An Application of Alpha-Stable Regression

2019 , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio , Brenda Retana-Blanco

This paper presents a proposal to estimate prices in the Mexican Wholesale Electric Market, which began operations in February 2016, which is why it moves from a scheme with a single bidder to a competitive market. There are particularities in the case of the Mexican market, the main one being the gradual increase in the number of competitors observed until now and, on the other hand, the geographic and technical characteristics of the electric power generation. The observed prices to date show great fluctuations in the observed data due to diverse aspects; among the stems we can mention the own seasonality of the demand of electrical energy, the availability of fuel, the problems of congestion in the electrical network, as well as other risks such as natural hazards. For the above, it is relevant in a market context to have a price estimation as accurate as possible for the decision-making of supply and demand. This paper proposes a methodology for the generation of electricity price estimation through the application of stable alpha regressions, since the behavior of the electric market has shown the presence of heavy tails in its price distribution. © 2019 by the authors, Sustainability.