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Structural Dynamics and disruption events in Supply Chains using Fat Tail Distributions

2019 , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio

The analysis of structural dynamics in a supply chain requires robust methods for the modeling of disruption events that can be faced. Statistical modeling, the machine learning application and access to large amounts of data require much more realistic models to manage risk in the supply chain. This study proposes a statistical methodology for the modeling of disruption events in the supply chain with heavy tailed distributions, which will allow the construction of models more closely linked to reality for risk management in the supply chain. © 2019, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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Selecting the Distribution System using AHP and Fuzzy AHP Methods

2024 , Saucedo-Martínez, Jania Astrid , Salais-Fierro, Tomás Eloy , Rodríguez Aguilar, Román , Marmolejo Saucedo, José Antonio

In this research, we present a supporting tool for decision making by designing a distribution system for a trading company of supplies for the welding industry in Mexico. The case study encompasses a distribution system with shortage problems and poor fleet capacity. To address these problems, improvement options were grouped into three possible scenarios through a third-party logistics (3PL) service. Furthermore, for the evaluation and selection of one of the scenarios, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) methodology was proposed integrating fuzzy logic as a tool for decision making, including factors of uncertainty and subjectivity as well as a comparison with traditional AHP obtaining the best scenario, meeting the requirements of the company, and showing potential improvements in the desired service level for its distribution system. © 2024 Springer Nature